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Yarra Valley Water Statsbench – August 13th

13/8/22           Premier  Round 17Wins WinsDrawsStreakVermont20Balwyn152B 2Norwood13Doncaster East110DE 1Rowville2Berwick00R 2^North Ringwood4Noble Park140NP 3Park Orchards0Blackburn10B 1^South Croydon25Doncaster250SC 5^

It’s pretty much crunch time for Blackburn who are hanging on to sixth place by their fingernails despite three losses in a row.  The Panthers’ final two matches are against teams below them, while Norwood must beat two teams above them to have any chance of finals action.  And of course, it is still mathematically possible for Vermont to sneak into the top six if Blackburn and Norwood lose both their matches and the Eagles win their last two.Division 1 Round 18Wins WinsDrawsStreakBayswater14East Ringwood331ER 3Beaconsfield1Lilydale00B 1^Croydon8Montrose150M 4^Upper FTG8Mitcham90M 3Wantirna South16Mooroolbark271M 4

A simple equation for Croydon and Montrose: win and play finals. Then it gets a little complicated.

If Montrose won by say, 5 points and Wantirna South lost to Mooroolbark by say, 60 points Croydon could jump into fifth despite losing! [SBRD* love this time of year].  If that happens, or Croydon beat Montrose and Wantirna South lose, then Croydon and Montrose would do it all again in the Elimination Final (see below in Divisions 2,3 and 4).Division 2 Round 18Wins WinsDrawsStreakKnox6Boronia31B 2^Templestowe21Heathmont100H 3^South Belgrave1Oakleigh District00SB 1^East Burwood46Ringwood241EB 1Mulgrave18The Basin140TB 2

East Burwood and Ringwood will meet for the 72nd time and then will do it all again next week in the Qualifying Final; also see below in Division 3 and Division 4.  Will bragging rights be more important than not showing your full hand??Division 3 Round 18Wins WinsDrawsStreakDonvale4Coldstream30C 1Fairpark0Scoresby30S 3^Glen Waverley1Warrandyte100W 8^Whitehorse Prs14Ferntree Gully110FTG 7^Waverley Blues Bye

Donvale and Coldstream meet for the eight time this week and then will do it all again for the ninth time in the first semi next week.

I reckon the two matches in a row thing happens more frequently than statistically probable.  (I did ask the SBRD* to investigate but they advised “too busy, preparing for finals” in a rather terse response).Division 4 Round 18Wins WinsDrawsStreakSurrey Park8Silvan90SP 1Croydon Nth MLOC1Kilsyth50K 2Nunawading9Forest Hill350FH 18Chirnside Park Bye

It’s a pretty simple equation for Kilsyth to break a five season finals drought: win.  If the Cougars lost by say, 20 points, then Forest Hill would need to beat Nunawading by about 130 points to sneak into fourth place, on percentage.

Surrey Park play Silvan for the 18th time and then will do it all again in the second semi next week!!

Current Streaks:  Waverley Blues W15; Oakleigh District L17, Upper Ferntree Gully L17.

All figures are for men’s EFNL matches 1962 – rd16/17 2022.

* Statsbench Research Department

^ Best Winning Streak (BWS) against this week’s opponent.

Acknowledgement: localfootystats.com

© Noel McPhee 2022

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